Rand’s Choice

GTY_rand_paul_sk_150129_16x9_992

I almost lost faith in Rand Paul. For awhile there, he seemed to be siding with the histrionic GOP establishment in the worst way, reaching his nadir, in my opinion, when he signed the famous letter to Iran. I started to wonder if Rand had gotten a taste for power and, like every other sitting politician on the national stage I can think of, was willing to do whatever it took to get and use that power. However, one nagging thought kept me from giving up on Rand: How could someone who was raised by Ron Paul, who had shared an apartment with him upon arriving in DC, be just another self-serving senator? I couldn’t imagine it. Just being exposed to Ron Paul from afar gives me the courage of my convictions, I couldn’t imagine that living with him, being his son, wouldn’t give a man enough courage for a lifetime. Fortunately, as Rand’s campaign unfolded, my faith was restored, and today, as he withdraws from the presidential race, I see him serving the greater purpose I had hoped he would.

Ron Paul spent many years shouting into the wind, or so it seemed. Possibly the best-ever Saturday Night Live skit

Read more

Is my #1 prediction for 2016 coming true already?

download

 

In my first show of the year, I came up with some bold predictions and some not-so-bold predictions. I didn’t get through every last word of them on the air, so I decided to pare down my notes and post them for easy access. (Yes, this is pared down!) Given my number one prediction: “Trump crashes, Cruz rises, JEB steals super Tuesday,” I was particularly motivated to post my list when I saw today’s Wall Street Journal headline “Cruz Vaults Past Trump in Iowa.” Could be Trump is on his way to crashing, and Cruz is obviously rising, but will JEB steal Super Tuesday? That brings up a question I hadn’t thought of a month ago…

Does Super Tuesday even matter anymore? The rules changes in the Republican primary process means that all primaries and caucuses before March 15 (except South Carolina) will award delegates proportionally to their vote percentages, so this could be a neck-and-neck–and-neck! race for another month or so. Even New Hampshire might not be a must-win-or-place contest as it once was. From what I can tell, no one–Democrat or Republican–has ever been nominated who hasn’t won first or second in New Hampshire, but I think if JEB takes third place (or even fourth!) he might break that rule. (Perhaps I should modify my “JEB steals super Tuesday” to “JEB surprises in New Hampshire”–not as much pizzazz, but let’s just say, JEB’s trajectory is about to change–that is, if I’m at all correct in my extremely cynical suspicion that this is all a bit manipulated…)

Top Ten Predictions for 2016

  1. BIG Election Surprise
    1. BOLD prediction…Trump crashes, Cruz rises, JEB steals super Tuesday

      Read more

Cruz Will Have the Edge in Iowa: Podcast of January 30, 2016 Show

At the beginning of the year, I predicted a “February Surprise” whereby Trump would stop dominating the media polls and start losing ground in the real polls. When Trump skipped the Iowa debate last week, I thought maybe the February Surprise came a few days early and that this might be the turning point for … Read more

Rand Paul on the View Talking Gun Control

In answer to Whoopi’s question as to why anyone would ever need to own a semi-automatic weapon, I wish Rand had quoted Luby’s massacre survivor Suzanna Gratia-Hupp’s Congressional testimony in which she explains that in the LA riots where the police abandoned entire neighborhoods, at least one individual was on his store’s rooftop protecting his … Read more